I approach betting as a market, not a gamble.

With a background in finance and quantitative analysis, I specialise in identifying inefficiencies in sports betting markets — treating them with the same discipline applied to trading or financial modeling. My focus is on extracting value through line mispricings, volatility, and structural edge, rather than speculative punting.

My work spans:

• AFL & NRL player prop markets – leveraging team news, role changes, and usage trends

• U.S. sports (NBA, MLB, NFL, NCAA) – targeting volume-based overs/unders and line movement

• Racing markets – late steam and high-volume shifts across fixed odds

• Multis/Parlays – built only from statistically correlated, +EV combinations

I’ve independently tracked over 3,000 trades (bets), maintaining:

• Consistent profitability across accounts and markets

• 84%+ closing line value (CLV) beat rate

• Public tracking and record-keeping for transparency and performance evaluation

My process is data-driven. I monitor pricing across multiple books, assess fair value using no-vig markets, and apply portfolio-level bankroll management to control risk exposure. This is not gambling in the traditional sense — it’s a statistical exercise in expected value and edge retention.

If you’re interested in betting from a financial and analytical standpoint or how market principles can be applied beyond traditional investing I’m always open to discussing process, modeling, or broader applications in sports markets.