Frequently Asked Questions
What kind of bets do you post?
I focus on +EV plays across:
AFL player props (disposals, goalscorers, role changes)
NBA,NFL,MLB,NHL, NCAA props , totals and lines
Horse racing (Only posting Locks (no longshots)
Value multis (correlated parlays around $2 odds)
Every bet is tracked, CLV-checked, and recommended with unit sizing.
What is +EV betting?
+EV betting (short for positive expected value betting)
is a smart, mathematical approach to betting where the odds you’re getting
offer more value than the actual probability of the outcome.
It means you’re not just guessing — you’re betting where the edge is in your favour.
Imagine this - You flip a coin (50/50 chance) if you do this 1 million times - the law of probabilities tells us that you will be breaking even.
How does this relate to sports betting? -
if every sportsbook has Lebron James over 15 points @$2 (implied 50% chance) ,
however Neds has it at $2.2 we are getting a 20c premium on something that has true odds of 50% ($2)
Why cant I just do this myself? what are you really providing me that I can’t do myself?
Totally fair question — and the truth is, you could.
But here’s what I bring to the table that most punters can’t or don’t do consistently:
Time-Saving
+EV betting takes work:
Scanning markets, spotting mispriced lines, beating steam, and avoiding bookie traps. I handle all that — so you don’t have to spend hours doing it daily.
I Study Finance — This Is Numbers-First
I’ve got a background in finance, which gives me a proper understanding of probability, expected value, and market efficiency.
This isn’t a hobby — it’s a numbers game, and I treat it like a portfolio.
I Know Which Books Are Sharp (and Which to Exploit)
Not all sportsbooks are equal.
Some are market setters, some blindly copy, and some regularly misprice props, multis, and racing markets.
I know what to avoid — and what to hammer hard when the edge is there.
Proven Track Record
I’ve tracked over 3,000 bets, with:
📈 7%+ ROI
📊 84%+ CLV beat rate
Every play is backed by math, not “vibes.” And the long-term results prove it.
Education Along the Way
I don’t just throw out picks — I show why they’re +EV.
You’ll start learning how to find your own edges too, just by following.
Why are there large gaps in your results with nothing there?
I only started tracking my bets seriously in 2023, fully committing to the +EV approach — focusing on CLV, market inefficiencies, and disciplined staking.
The results came fast, but so did the reality of sharp betting:
📉 I got limited by several major sportsbooks due to consistent value plays.
So through most of 2024, I gave it a rest
paused most of my betting and used that time to regroup. Then in October 2024,
I made a return, locked in another solid run, and used those profits to fund a holiday around Asia through to mid-November.
I did it again in February 2025 — backed by +EV, bankroll discipline, and smart targeting.
📍 What started as a betting grind is now literally paying for my travel.
It’s not hype — it’s strategy. And I’m here to share it.
How often do you post picks?
Daily — 7 days a week when value is present.
Most tips are shared 2–6 hours before the event to catch the best odds and avoid limits.
How are your picks delivered?
Via Discord, email, or Whoop (Direct app notification)
Each tip includes:
Market + odds
Recommended stake (assumed 5k bankroll)
Quick reason (e.g. role change, mispriced total, late steam)
What’s your track record?
Over 3,000 bets tracked publicly
✅ 60% ROI
✅ 84%+ CLV beat rate
✅ Profitable across multiple sports + accounts
Results are updated weekly on the Results Page.
Can I trust your results? Are they verified?
Yes — I log and post every pick after every month.
CLV screenshots and tracked spreadsheets are available to all premium members.
No cherry-picking, no post-winners-only nonsense.
How do payments work?
Through Whop — safe, secure, and cancel anytime.
Whoop uses Apple pay
Is this gambling advice?
No. I share analysis and data to help punters bet smarter.
What you do with it is up to you — 18+ only. Please bet responsibly.